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Long-Range Forecast

Joint Meeting

purpose

The Asian monsoon forecast itself is no longer a problem limited only to a nation. Cooperation between East Asian countries is needed to overcome many difficulties as the weather and climate become more and more erratic and violent over the East Asian monsoon region. KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) pushed the plan of holding a joint meeting of experts on the long-range weather forecast from the East Asian countries in 1998, for better understanding of the ongoing abnormal weather and climate, and hence to improve the seasonal prediction over East Asia.

history
  • Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon

    Date : 11-13 May, 2004

    The 1st Date : 21-22 May 1998 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The foreign participants are as follows; Weijing Li, Hui Li and Pu Xie from the China Meteorological Administration(CMA), and Yoshihiro Kimura from the Japan Meteorological Agency(JMA).
    The 2nd Date : 20-21 May, 1999 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The foreign participants are as follows; Peiqun Zhang and Min He from CMA, Rong-hui Huang, Ren-He Zhang, Ri-Yu Lu, Bang-Liang Yan, Zhen-Xia Long, Xin-Jin Cheng and Bao-Hua Ren from IAP (Institute of Atmospheric Physics/China), and Noriaki Watanabe from JMA
    The 3rd Date : 22-23 May, 2000 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda In this meeting, all participants agreed to the suggestion of holding a joint meeting on the seasonal prediction of East Asian winter monsoon. The foreign participants in the third joint meeting were as follows; Jiangdong Gong, Yanjun Guo, Qing Zhang, Sourong Wang and Changyou Liu from CMA, Ronghui Huang and Miaoxin Xin from IAP, Koichi Kurihara from JMA, and Johnny Chan from City University of Hong Kong.
    The 4th Date : 15-16 May, 2001 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The foreign participants were as follows; Jingui Wang, Weijing Li, Qingquan Li, Wanxiu Ai and Rujun Xing form CMA, Huang Ronghui, Lu Riyu, Ren Baohua, Lin Zhaohui and Chen Wen from IAP, Koichi Kurihara and Kiyoharu Takano from JMA, and Johnny Chan from City University of Hong Kong.
    The 5th Date : 16-18 May, 2002 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Fifth Joint Meeting on the Seasonal Prediction of East Asian Summer Monsoon was held in Beijing, China hosted by CMA. The participants discussed "Review of the Features of Regional and Global Climate in East Asia in 2001", "Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon in 2002 and Its Impact on Precipitation and Temperature in East Asia", "The Seasonal and Interannual Prediction over East Asia" and "The Methods and Assessments of Climate Prediction".
    The 6th Date : 11-13 May, 2004 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Sixth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon was held from May 11 to 13 of 2004 in Guilin, Guangxi province of China, which was sponsored by the National Climate Center(NCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA). More than 40 participants from 7 countries took part in this meeting. Dr. Xu Xiaofeng, deputy administrator of CMA, Dr. Lei Zhaochong, chief of Weather Prediction Research and Tropical Meteorological Division of WMO also attended this meeting. There were 28 presentations and they discussed various topics related to "Overview of Recent Climate", " Monitoring and Outlook on ENSO and Monsoon in 2004", "Outlook of 2004 Summer Circulation", and "Prediction for Rainfall, Temperature and Typhoon".
    The 7th Date : 11-13 May, 2005 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Seventh Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon was held from May 11 to 13 of 2005 in Nanjing, Pukoui district of China, which was sponsored by the National Climate Center(NCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA). About 40 participants from 7 countries took part in this meeting.
    There were 28 presentations and they discussed various topics related to "Overview of Recent Climate", " Monitoring and Outlook on ENSO and Monsoon in 2005", "Outlook of 2005 Summer Circulation", and "Prediction for Rainfall, Temperature and Typhoon".
    The 8th Date : 6-8 April, 2006 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Eighth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon was held from April 6 to 8 of 2006 in Beijing, which was sponsored by the Beijing Climate Center(BCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA). About 40 participants from 6 countries took part in this meeting.
    There were 14 presentations and they discussed various topics related to "Overview of Recent Climate", " Monitoring and Outlook on ENSO and Monsoon in 2006", "Outlook of 2006 Summer Circulation", and "Prediction for Rainfall, Temperature and Typhoon
    The 9th Date : 4-6 April, 2007 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Ninth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon was held from April 4 to 6 of 2006 in Beijing, which was sponsored by the Beijing Climate Center(BCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA). There were totally 102 participants from 24 countries/territories or regional groupings (Australia, Bangladesh, China, Chinese Hong Kong, Chinese Macao, Democratic People¢???s Republic of Korea, India, Japan, Kazakhstan, Korea, Laos, Malaysia, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Senegal, Singapore, Thailand, United Kingdom, United States, Uzbekistan and Vietnam), and representatives of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), CIIFEN (Ecuador) and ICPAC (Kenya). Deputy Administrator of CMA, Dr. Rucong Yu jointed part of the meeting. There were 35 presentations and they discussed various topics related to "Overview of Recent Climate", " Monitoring and Outlook on ENSO and Monsoon in 2007", "Outlook of 2007 Summer Circulation", and "Prediction for Rainfall, Temperature and Typhoon
    The 10th Date : 9-11 April, 2008 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Tenth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon (or The FOCRAII) was held in Beijing, China, during 9-11 April 2008, which was sponsored by the Beijing Climate Center(BCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA), co-sponsored by WMO and WMO East Asian Monsoon Activity Center. There were totally 100 participants from 24 countries/territories or regional groupings (Bahrain, Bangladesh, Burundi, Cambodia, China, Chinese Hong Kong, Chinese Macao, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Laos, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Pakistan, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Tajikistan, United Kingdom and United States), and representatives of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Deputy Administrator of CMA, Dr. Xiaofeng Xu and Mr. Joel Martellet from WMO joined part of the Forum. The Forum was organized into three sessions including invited lectures and oral presentation.
    The 11th Date : 6-8 April, 2009 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Eleventh Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon (or The Fifth FOCRAII) was held in Beijing, China, during 6-8 April 2009, which was sponsored by the Beijing Climate Center(BCC) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and WMO, co-sponsored by State Administration of Foreign Experts Affairs and WMO East Asian Monsoon Activity Center. More than 100 experts from 18 countries/territories or regional groupings (APCC, Australia, China, Chinese Hong Kong, Chinese Macao, DPRK, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Laos, Mongolia, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Republic of Korea, United Kingdom and United States) participated in this meeting. Welcome address by Dr. Zheng Guoguang, Administrator of CMA has been done. The Forum was organized into three sessions (Invited Lectures, Oral Presentation, and Discussion). The participants presented on various topics related to East Asian regional climate, and discussed the oulook of 2009 East Asian summer monsoon.
  • Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon

    The 1st Date : 21-22 Nov, 2000 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The First Joint Meeting on the Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoons was held in the CMA on 21-22 November, 2000, hosted by CMA, to discuss the 2000 Winter Predictions of the East Asian region, and the prospects of development during the first a of 2001.
    All 36 experts, including 7 from KMA and 1 from JMA, participated in the meeting.
    The 2nd Date : 21-22 Nov, 2001 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Second Joint Meeting on the Seasonal Prediction of East Asian Winter Monsoons was held in Harbin, China on 21-22 November, 2001, hosted by CMA. the participants discussed "Regional or Global Climate Anomalous features in 2001", "Large-Scale Features and ENSO Outlook", "Prediction and Influence of East Asian Winter Monsoon" and "Seasonal and Interannual Prediction over East Asia". All 26 experts, including 7 from Korea, and 1 from JMA, were participated in the meeting.
    The 3rd Date : 13-15 Nov, 2002 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The Third Joint Meeting on the Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held by KMA on 13-15 November, 2002. This meeting included lectures titled "Global Warming and Winter Monsoon in East Asia" by Prof. Ding Yihui from National Climate Center, China, "Perspective of Seasonal Forecasts at JMA" by Mr. Masato Sugi from Climate Prediction Division, Japan, and "Potential Predictability of Dynamical Seasonal Prediction System with Systematic Error Correction" by Professor In-Sik Kang from Seoul National University. The Monsoon experts from China, Japan and Korea discussed on various subjects including recent climate over East Asia, El Nino monitoring and outlooks and seasonal forecasts for the 2002 East Asian Winter Monsoon.
    The foreign participants were as follows; Ding Yihui, G¡E¡Ie Ge, Zhang Zuqiang, Song Wenling, Chen Guiying, Wang Weiguo from CMA, Masato Sugi, Shunji Takahashi, Tomoaki Ose from JMA, and Jonny Chan from City University of Hong Kong.
    The 4th Date : 11-13 Nov, 2003 Host : JMA, Japan
    Agenda The Fourth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held in Tokyo from 11 to 13 November 2003. Thirty-Seven experts from China, Korea, Mongolia, Hong Kong/China and Japan attended the meeting. They discussed the expected ENSO condition and climate in 2003/2004 winter and some issues on seasonal to interannual(SI) forecasts.
    The Sixth Joint Meeting on the Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon in 2003 was canceled due to SARS and postponed until next year.
    The 5th Date : 12-13 Nov 2004 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The Fifth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Climate Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held on November 12 to 13 of 2004 at Paradise Hotel, Busan, Korea, which was sponsored by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). More than 20 participants from China, Japan, and Korea attended this joint meeting and East Asian Monsoon Seasonal Prediction method, Climate and ENSO monitoring, statistical and dynamical model forecast and Outlook of ENSO and 04/05 Winter Monsoon. Moreover, invited lectures were given by Professor In-Sik Kang from Seoul National University, Professor Ding Yihui from CMA, Dr. Singh Gyan from Pukyong National University, Dr. Won-Tae Yun from APCN/CPD of KMA, Congwen Zhu from APCN, Professor Kyun-Ja, Ha from Pusan National University, and Professor Hi-Ryoung Byun from Pukyong National University.
    For the development of seasonal forecast, this meeting agreed to set up a session for CGCM forecast system and verification for the last seasonal forecast. Additionally, they made a decision to build Joint Meeting website system for the efficient exchanges of information about long range forecast.
    The 6th Date : 16-17 Nov 2005 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The Sixth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Climate Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held on November 16 to 17 of 2005 at KMA. which was sponsored by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). More than 20 participants from China and Korea attended this joint meeting and East Asian Monsoon Seasonal Prediction method, Climate and ENSO monitoring, statistical and dynamical model forecast and Outlook of ENSO, and 05/06 Winter Monsoon. Moreover, various talks were given by Professor Jong-Ghap Jhun and Professor In-Sik Kang from Seoul National University, Mr. Li Weijing, Mr. Gao Hui, Ms. Liu Yunxiang and Mr. Li wei from NCC/CMA, Dr. Won-Tae Yun from CPD/KMA, Professor Jai-Ho Oh from Pukyong National University and Professor Joong-Bae Ahn from Pusan National University.
    The 7th Date : 2-3 Nov, 2006 Host : CMA, China
    Agenda The Seventh Joint Meeting of Seasonal Prediction on East Asian Winter Monsoon was opened on the morning of 2 November 2006. Dr. Yu Rucong, Deputy Administrator of China Meteorological Administration (CMA), Mr. Chen Zhenlin, Deputy Director-General of Department of International Cooperation, Mr. Zhu Qiwen, Deputy Director-General of Department of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, Dr. Li Weijing, Deputy Director-General of BCC, Dr. Chen Deliang, Science Director of BCC, and Prof. Ding Yihui, Academician of CAE, attended the opening ceremony. Nearly 40 officials and experts attended the meeting respectively from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Seoul National University (SNU), Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), National Agency for Meteorology Hydrology and Environment Monitoring (NAMHEM) of Mongolia, CMA Headquarter, Beijing Climate Center (BCC), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS), Institute of Atmospheric Sciences (IAP/CAS), Peking University (PKU), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), and Regional Climate Centers in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenyang and Lanzhou.
    The 8th Date : 17-19 October, 2007 Host : KMA, Korea
    Agenda The Eighth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Climate Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held in Special Construction Center, Seoul, Korea, during 17-19 October 2007, which was sponsored by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). More than 46 participants from China, Japan, Korea, Mongolia, Thailand, and Viet Nam attended this joint meeting, and they discussed and presented the East Asian Monsoon Seasonal Prediction method, Climate and ENSO monitoring, statistical and dynamical model forecast and Outlook of ENSO and 07/08 Winter Monsoon. Moreover, invited lectures were given by Professor Jong-Ghap Jhun and In-Sik Kang from Seoul National University, Maeng-Ki Kim from Kongju National University, and Jai-ho Oh from Pukyong National University.
    The 9th Date : 6-7 November, 2008 Host : JMA, Japan
    Agenda The Ninth Joint Meeting on Seasonal Prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon was held in Tokyo, Japan on 6-7 November 2008. This meeting was sponsored by the Tokyo climate center(TCC) of Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). More than 30 participants from China, Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Iran, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia, Thailand, Philippines and Viet Nam attended this joint meeting. They discussed and presented current status and future plan of seasonal prediction, long-term trend and decadal variability, ENSO and its influence including interaction from tropics, internal variability in the extratropics, overview of recent climate and seasonal outlook of the 2008/2009 winter.