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El Nino / La Nina

Model Description

Intermediate Ocean-Statistical Atmosphere Coupled Model

Tropical Pacific SST Prediction

Predictability and Persistence (Present Model, LDEO2)

Correlation and RMS error for NINO3 and NINO4 SST

CORRELATION Nino3 IndexCORRELATION Nino4 Index

RMX ERROR Nino3 IndexRMX ERROR Nino4 Index

Predictability and Persistence
  1. 1) Spacial Pattern
  2. 2) Example of previous forecast (12 months prediction)